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November 06, 2014




Perhaps you should update your exponential economic growth chart, since your prior analysis is a decade old...

I think the linear regression of 1800-2015 is the correct projection, since AI is what makes that extrapolation happen in the first place. I don't think AI makes it go faster than that (the Arnold Kling projections, and yours), but rather AI enables the still-fast linear regression.

At any rate, vast prosperity is just 15-25 years away from now (now being 2015).

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